PSX opens week on subdued note amid Trump’s tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico

Brokers are busy in trading at Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi on Friday, January 31, 2025. — PPI
Brokers are busy in trading at Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi on Friday, January 31, 2025. — PPI

The capital market started the week on a subdued note, as global market instability and trade tensions weighed on investor sentiment.

The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index registered a 365.07 points gain (0.32%), reaching an intraday high of 114,620.79, but later retreated, touching a low of 112,914.5, reflecting a decline of 1,341.22 points, or -1.17%, from the previous session’s close of 114,255.72.

Market analysts linked the decline to external pressures, with Samiullah Tariq, Head of Research at Pak-Kuwait Investment Company, saying: “Drop in international markets, due to tariffs.”

Global markets braced for further turmoil after US President Donald Trump imposed sweeping tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, raising fears of a full-blown trade war. 

The affected countries have vowed immediate retaliatory measures, creating uncertainty in financial markets worldwide. Investors are also concerned that escalating tariff disputes could dampen corporate profits, trigger inflationary pressures, and disrupt interest rate cut expectations in the US.

Last week, the global financial landscape also faced pressure after introducing China’s DeepSeek AI model, which triggered a sell-off in tech stocks. The combination of trade tensions and technological disruptions has resulted in increased volatility in global equity markets, with investors adopting a wait-and-see approach to assess the impact on financial growth.

Meanwhile, in an effort to reduce electricity tariffs and stabilise the energy sector, the government has initiated a plan to convert circular debt (CD) into public debt. This move is expected to lower electricity tariffs by Rs3.37 per unit while restructuring $16.26 billion in energy-related debt. 

The government is aiming to refinance and extend the repayment tenure of energy project loans, including those for hydel, coal, wind, solar, and nuclear power plants. By doing so, it hopes to ease the financial burden on consumers and improve the sustainability of the power sector.

A major part of the plan involves reprofiling circular debt, and converting it into sovereign debt. According to estimates, this transition will result in a Rs3.78 per kWh reduction in electricity tariffs after tax.

The KSE-100 Index continued its upward trajectory for a second consecutive session on Friday, driven by strong corporate earnings expectations and hopes of further monetary easing. 

Investors engaged in aggressive buying, which lifted the benchmark KSE-100 Index by 1,049.32 points, or 0.93%, to close at 114,255.72. The index surged to an intraday high of 115,106.99, reflecting sustained investor confidence, while the lowest level recorded during the session was 113,692.87.

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